Bitcoin vs. the U.S. Dollar: Who Will Survive the Debt Default?

Estimated read time 3 min read

Bitcoin’s Home Turf: A Safe Haven?

In recent discussions, analysts have been pondering whether Bitcoin (BTC) holds a security blanket status compared to the U.S. dollar amid fears of a potential government debt default. Analyst Marcel Pechman takes a deep dive into this cryptocurrency conundrum on the latest installment of The Market Report.

Bloomberg’s Eye-Opener: Bitcoin in the Spotlight

According to a Bloomberg Markets survey, Bitcoin is touted as one of the top three assets to consider if the U.S. government falters on its debt. Pechman remarks that it’s hardly shocking to see Bitcoin leapfrogging traditional fiat currencies, especially since central banks from various regions have been ramping up their borrowing from the U.S. Federal Reserve.

  • Eurozone, Japan, Canada, England, and Switzerland: Their actions have created a ripple effect, linking fiat currencies closely to Bitcoin—spelling trouble if a default occurs.

The Gold Standard vs. Bitcoin: A Battle of Allocations

Pechman forecasts that come a time of crisis, the average allocation investors might consider for gold could be tenfold compared to Bitcoin’s. The stark truth? With Bitcoin’s relatively modest market cap and erratic price swings, it still has a way to go before it matches gold’s role as a go-to asset. Nevertheless, in questionable times, he notes that 11% of retail investors are looking at adding Bitcoin to their stash, while a whopping 46% prefer gold.

Bitcoin’s Rocky Road: The $28,000 Milestone

Moving on to price action, Pechman shared insights on why the $28,000 resistance level for Bitcoin is going to be tougher to break through than anticipated. Following a correction to $25,800, the culprit — hefty transaction fees — has raised eyebrows, but Pechman reassures us that it’s all part of the Bitcoin network’s defense mechanism against spam. Professional trader positioning could further complicate things, with whales and market makers leaning towards a more neutral-to-bearish outlook pre-event.

Celsius, Ethereum, and the Blob of Uncertainty

To wrap things up, the show tackles the troubled journey of the crypto lending platform Celsius, that has shifted a staggering $780 million worth of Ether (ETH) from Lido staking. What lies ahead for that Ether? Will it be offloaded onto the market and transformed into U.S. dollars to repay Celsius creditors? Only time will tell, but it adds another layer of drama to this already unfolding saga.

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