Bitcoin Price Analysis: Can BTC Soar Above $11,000 This Weekend?

Estimated read time 2 min read

Current Market Overview

Last Friday, Bitcoin (BTC) flirted with the $11,000 mark, tantalizing traders and investors alike. There was a sense of excitement in the air as everyone anticipated a bullish weekend. Just as traders were getting their bull horns polished, a mysterious $1 billion transfer caught everyone’s attention, creating speculation about whales and institutions moving their resources into Bakkt’s custody service.

Price Movements and Trends

Following a peak of $10,938, Bitcoin took a nosedive, prompting discussions about how Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s recent commentary might have dampened enthusiasm. Some aren’t ruling out the possibility that the recent Bakkt bitcoin futures contracts are mimicking the hype from the 2017 rally’s peak.

Technical Analysis: Resistance and Support Levels

Bitcoin successfully ascended from $9,350 to $10,800, surpassing the 50-day moving average. However, after testing the $11,000 range, a spike in bear volume caused a sharp decline. Currently, a new resistance level at $10,500 has emerged, reversing its role from support. Keep an eye on key levels:

  • Resistance: $11,091
  • Support: $10,250
  • Fibonacci Levels: 61.8% retracement at $12,033

Bearish vs. Bullish Scenarios

The market sentiment is mixed, as short-term bearish indicators surface against the backdrop of long-term bullish trends. The Bollinger Bands are tightening, suggesting a potential drop to the $10,167 mark could lead to further declines towards $9,500. Conversely, if Bitcoin can surge past $11,450, it would confirm a bullish breakout, validating the inverse head and shoulders pattern that has been in play since August 12.

Final Thoughts: Keeping an Eye on Volume

While no one can predict Bitcoin’s next move with absolute certainty, the tightening of prices and volume hints that something big could be just around the corner. As veteran trader Peter Brandt aptly put it,

“Bitcoin meets the definition of a descending triangle. Don’t let newbie chartists tell you different.”

Keep your eyes peeled on trading volumes across exchanges, as they may provide invaluable insights into whether BTC will break up or down.

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