Bitcoin’s Bright Future: How Excess Money and Low Velocity Could Drive Prices Sky High

Estimated read time 3 min read

The Hidden Forces Behind Bitcoin’s Future

If you thought 2020 was a wild ride for your wallet, hold on to those virtual currencies tight because the Bitcoin roller coaster is only getting started! Analysts are whispering about an abundance of cash and the lowest money velocity the U.S. has seen in ages. This combination could be the magic formula for Bitcoin’s value to explode.

Understanding Money Velocity: The Economic Slinky

So, what’s this money velocity business? Simply put, it’s the rate at which money changes hands in the economy, like a game of hot potato—only the potato is your money. According to Jeroen Blokland of Robeco, this measure plunged in 2020, indicating that there’s just too much cash sitting around waiting to be spent. Imagine folks holding onto their cash tighter than their grandma clutching her cookie jar!

Too Much Cash, Too Little Action

When economic activity slumps, so does money velocity. Blokland suggests that the sharp decrease in velocity, paired with enormous printing antics by the Federal Reserve, highlights that there is more cash floating around than there are goods and services to buy. It’s a case of economic alcohol: all that liquor, but nobody sober enough to enjoy it. Consequently, traditional spending habits are out the window, and prices of hard assets like Bitcoin are poised to rise.

The Fed’s Never-Ending Inflation Game

As you may have heard, the Fed has been busy mixing up its own cocktail of asset inflation—think Bitcoin, gold, and yes, your mom’s silverware. Quantitative easing has become the Fed’s go-to party trick. They keep pumping money into the economy, which, in theory, should spark inflation. Unfortunately, it seems all this action has only inflated asset prices rather than the broader economy. With the new inflation target potentially set to soar to 4%, get ready to put your helmets on: the inflationary roller coaster is on the brink of a full loop!

The Price Prediction: Buckle Up for $288,000!

If you think that was wild, just wait till we mention Bitcoin’s potential price trajectory. According to the enigmatic analyst PlanB, the forecast calls for an average Bitcoin price of $288,000 by the year 2024. This figure is based on the stock-to-flow model, which has been infamous for its accuracy—well, almost as accurate as your uncle predicting the weather at Thanksgiving. So, whether this prediction materializes or not, one thing is for sure: the Bitcoin community will continue to ride the waves of volatility.

Conclusion: What Does It All Mean?

To sum up, while low money velocity and high cash reserves may seem counterintuitive, they might be setting the stage for Bitcoin’s next spectacular breakout performance. Keep those eyes peeled and wallets at the ready, because this cryptocurrency saga is far from over!

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