Analyzing the Bitcoin Landscape
Long-term Bitcoin price charting and Tether issuance may have traders buzzing like bees in a honey pot. With analysts like FilbFilb turning on the charm and predicting bullish trends, the cryptocurrency conversation is all about the run-up to the next halving in 2020. But what does this mean for Bitcoin?
Three Camps Divided Over Bitcoin’s Future
Since Bitcoin’s 2019 roller-coaster ride down from its all-time high of $13,800, traders have found themselves in three distinct camps:
- The Bearish Brigade: These folks are preparing for a potential plunge down to $8,500-$7,500. They often point fingers at the infamous CME gap.
- The Consolidation Crew: Predicting Bitcoin price consolidation, they envision a comfy range between $9,000 and $12,000, where smart investors can stockpile before the halving.
- The Bullish Believers: This passionate group interprets recent market movements as short-lived, anticipating a rally that could bring Bitcoin back to $13,500 or beyond.
Structural Shifts You Can’t Ignore
FilbFilb reports that Bitcoin has shaken off some cobwebs and undergone four significant structural changes in 2019:
- Currently hovering near $11,800, Bitcoin has rebounded from a double bottom at $9,500, exhibiting bullish behavior as it consolidates below resistance.
- Bitcoin has made several attempts to breach the $12,000 mark, unlike earlier in 2018 when swift rejections were the norm. Fourth time’s a charm?
- Market structure resembles a bullish pennant, which folks are eyeing as a catapult to the next level of resistance at $16,000.
- With a void in price history above $12,000, a leap to $14,000 could unleash a price discovery phase with minimal selling pressure.
The Magic of Market Cap and Tether
It’s important to understand the relationship between Tether injection and Bitcoin price fluctuations. FilbFilb has highlighted that historically, a 32-day lag tends to occur between Tether issuance and price movements in Bitcoin, creating a delay that confuses everyone—like trying to eat spaghetti with chopsticks.
For example, when analyzing Tether’s current market cap of $4.34 billion, mathematical models suggest a possible Bitcoin price hovering around $20,000. Of course, there’s that pesky caveat: correlation doesn’t imply causation—but let’s not throw the baby out with the bathwater just yet.
Macro-Economic Waves Influencing Bitcoin
As the traditional market gets hit by economic tsunamis, Bitcoin is fast emerging as a lifeboat for weary investors. With a growing correlation to gold, yuan devaluation, Brexit, and other global monetary shenanigans, Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a safe haven amidst stormy seas.
A study by Digital asset research firm Delphi Digital suggests the current economic conditions have created a “perfect storm” for Bitcoin, making it attractive for those hungry for growth potential. So, let’s just say the global economy’s cloudy skies might just send more investors flocking to Bitcoin’s cozy embrace.
Final Thoughts on Bitcoin’s Trajectory
Ultimately, while we’re cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin’s future, FilbFilb wisely points out that we shouldn’t count our chickens before they hatch. The statistical evidence suggests that with enough Tether floating around, a bullish move is certainly on the table. Just don’t forget to buckle your seatbelt—this ride is just getting started!