A Rocky Start for U.S. Equity Markets
The U.S. equity markets opened on a hesitant note on May 2. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and its crypto buddies are at least showing some resilience by staying above crucial support levels. Traders everywhere, brace yourselves! The outcome of the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) meeting on May 4 could set the tone for the next wave of market action.
The Fed: Friend or Foe?
As the FOMC meeting approaches, traders are sweating bullets. A surprise negative announcement from the Fed could send equity markets into a freefall, much like those dreams where you’re tumbling down an endless pit. But on the bright side, if the Fed keeps things calm, we might just see a resurgence in both equity and crypto markets—so fingers crossed!
Bitcoin’s May History: A Rollercoaster Ride
If the past is anything to go by, May could mean big moves for Bitcoin. Historical data suggests Bitcoin rose over 50% in May on two occasions—let’s call them the ‘Good Old Days’—back in 2019 and 2017. Then, there was that less glamorous year of 2021, where Bitcoin plummeted by more than 35%. With increased volatility since 2017, traders should definitely prepare for a bumpy ride. Who’s in the mood for a thrill?
BTC/USDT: The Battle for 20-Day EMA
Bitcoin appears to be fighting its way back up, bouncing off its support line on May 1. Traders feel that bulls are on the hunt for bargains, hungry to push the price above the 20-day EMA, currently sitting at $39,824. If successful, this bullish surge might just rally to the 50-day SMA at $41,970, and perhaps even leap to the 200-day SMA at $47,154. However, if the price dips again at the 20-day EMA, it might just hint that the bears are still having a field day.
Ethereum: Will the Bulls Prevail?
Ethereum started its recovery on May 1, but apparently, the bears sent out the memo too, refusing to relinquish their grip on the market. The long wick seen on May 2 signals that bears are still in the game, determined to send ETH south. Should the bulls manage a bounce-back at the uptrend line, we might see an attempt to push ETH up to the 200-day SMA ($3,451). Yet, if they falter, the next stop could be a daunting $2,450.
BNB: Sentiment Dips to a Low
Binance Coin fell from the 50-day SMA ($411) and has broken below $391. Attempts to regain that level revealed strong selling pressure. If BNB continues this bearish trajectory, a drop to $350 seems inevitable. Conversely, a successful push above the 50-day SMA could spark some optimism and the chance to make a run for $469.
Other Cryptos: Diverging Paths
Solana, Ripple, Dogecoin, and others are following their unique trajectories. Solana has dipped below its support channel, while Ripple has faced significant drops but is making efforts to rise above the $0.62 level. Meanwhile, the ever-volatile Dogecoin is trying to resist the bearish clutch below the 50-day SMA.
In Closing
As traders gear up for the FOMC meeting and watch Bitcoin and friends dance their erratic jig, remember to keep your helmets on. The crypto world waits with bated breath—let’s see who knows how to throw a party and who’s just here to crash it.
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