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The Bullish Tango: Bitcoin and Altcoin Correlations Explained

Bitcoin’s Meteoric Rise

In early 2020, Bitcoin surprised everyone by smashing through $10,497, marking a striking 42% increase since the year kicked off. This whirlwind surge has got analysts buzzing, many claiming that a new bull run is taking off. Some are optimistic, forecasting a stunning jump to $27,000 by summer, while others, perhaps gallantly sipping on crypto Kool-Aid, predict a leap all the way to $100,000 before the year runs out!

Altcoins Join the Party

As Bitcoin danced its way up, several altcoins like NEM and Tezos decided to join the conga line, showcasing their own impressive double-digit gains. This raises a burning question: Do these altcoins and Bitcoin share a mystical correlation during market highs and lows? Let’s break it down.

When Bitcoin Bullishness Strikes

During Bitcoin’s impressive rally from April to June 2019, it didn’t just ride solo. Bitcoin went on to produce a staggering return of over 200%, breaching $13,800 in the process. An analysis shows that a whopping 58% of top cryptocurrencies exhibited correlations higher than 60% with Bitcoin during bullish spells. To simplify, that’s like inviting your friends to your party—most of them show up if you’re buying pizza!

  • Top Correlating Cryptos: Ether (ETH), Dash, Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Monero (XMR)
  • Lowest Correlation: USD Coin (USDC) with an impressive -4.3%!

Riding the Altcoin Wave

In contrast, when altcoins were in the spotlight—from December 2018 to March 2019—most currencies seemed to play nice with Bitcoin, sharing warm correlations. It turns out that 77% of top currencies boasted correlations greater than 60%, with Monero leading the pack at 92.3%. Looks like they were all in cahoots trying to impress the big Bitcoin.

But What’s Happening in 2020?

As we slipped into 2020, Bitcoin’s rollercoaster ride continued, gaining over 35%. High correlations with big altcoins like Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, and Litecoin showed they were still in sync. However, some currencies, like Chainlink and Usual Suspects like Dash, displayed erratic behavior. This inconsistency raises eyebrows. Are they simply unpredictable party animals?

Strategy for Savvy Investors

The path ahead for Bitcoin and its altcoin buddies might be rocky or exhilarating. However, keen future investors should keep a close eye on those high-correlation altcoins during bullish times. They could just be the right cheap seats before the main event! Meanwhile, more conservative investors may want to play it safe. Think of it like ordering a salad with your double burger—hedging your bets with stablecoins could balance the riskiness that Bitcoin brings.

In conclusion, while the ride might be bumpy, the correlations between Bitcoin and altcoins can provide insights into potential market behavior. But remember, always do your homework before diving in! Who knows, perhaps 2020 will be the wild ride cryptocurrency enthusiasts have been waiting for.

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