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The Future of Crypto Crime: Trends and Predictions for 2022

Crypto Crime on the Decline

As we step into a new year, one thing stands clear: crypto-related crime is likely to shrink even further in percentage terms thanks to the ever-watchful eyes of law enforcement mastering the transparency that blockchain technology offers. Kim Grauer, Chainalysis’s director of research, confidently states that the legitimate use of cryptocurrency is expanding at a breakneck speed compared to nefarious activities. In 2021, only a mere 0.15% of all crypto transaction volume was linked to criminal activity—yes, you heard it right, that’s significantly low!

The Illusion of the Criminal Crypto

Grauer insists that the tide is turning. The ongoing improvements in transparency—thanks to law enforcement’s efforts—are making cryptocurrency a less appealing avenue for illicit transactions. “Cash is still king,” she remarks, pointing out that cash continues to reign supreme in the underworld of financial crime. However, it seems like the stigma surrounding crypto as solely a criminal’s playground is slowly fading away. Can we finally set the record straight? Is crypto just for naughty bad guys? Spoiler alert: it’s not!

The Rise of Creative Scams

2021 saw the reign of rug pulls in the realm of crypto scams, with scammers raking in $7.8 billion. Just when you thought the schemes couldn’t get weirder! But don’t expect rug pulls to remain a favorite in 2022; criminals are clever and likely to pivot to fresh tech marvels like DeFi, NFTs, and DAOs as the broader ecosystem evolves to Web3. The creativity in crime never ceases to amaze!

Criminal Activity vs. Economic Climate

Grauer raises an eyebrow at the possible impacts of an economic downturn, hinting that if a recession hits—dollars to donuts—that crime rates might creep up across the board, even in crypto. Statistically speaking, when walls get tight economically, bad actors may become bolder. Add the wild west of cryptocurrency into the mix, and you have a recipe ripe for increased mischievousness.

Law Enforcement’s Winning Streak

2021 was a blockbuster year for law enforcement agencies, as they showcased some impressive wins against crypto crime. IRS Criminal Investigations managed to seize over $3.5 billion worth of cryptocurrency from non-tax investigations, proving they mean business. Yet, while the potential for dirty money has risen, it’s essential to take a nuanced look at the trends. Even though illicit addresses raked in a record-breaking $14 billion, members of the law enforcement community are gaining ground faster than you can say “blockchain”!

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