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UBS Report: Bitcoin Needs to Reach $213,000 to Compete with US Money Supply

Bitcoin’s Limitations as an Alternative Currency

In a recent analysis, the Zurich-based investment giant UBS revealed that Bitcoin’s value must rise to nearly $213,000 to adequately replace the U.S. money supply. Spoiler alert: That’s a hefty price tag for those thinking of using BTC as their next currency of choice.

Why Bitcoin Struggles in the Current Market

According to UBS, Bitcoin isn’t even close to being a suitable currency at this point. The report indicates that its instability and network capacity issues are significant hurdles. If Bitcoin were a student, we’d be sending it back to summer school.

The Versatility Dilemma

While the world of digital currencies may hold promise, the current volatility of their prices tarnishes their reputation. For instance, Bitcoin transactions in commerce dropped sharply from a high of $411 million in September 2017. If cryptocurrencies had a CV, volatility would be their biggest red flag.

The Real Cost of Transactions

High transaction fees are the bane of Bitcoin’s existence as a payment system. Nicholas Weaver from the International Computer Science Institute emphasized this point, claiming that Bitcoin isn’t “actually usable” for everyday transactions. Why waste a day’s pay on fees when you could just grab a burrito for lunch?

The Price Rollercoaster

As highlighted by Kim Grauer, a senior economist at Chainalysis, the wild price swings make Bitcoin less reliable for everyday purchases. “When the price [was] going up so rapidly last year, in one day you could lose $1,000 if you spent it.” It’s like buying a new TV, only to find out you can’t return it because the price dropped $500 the next day.

Optimism Amidst Skepticism

Despite these challenges, some Bitcoin supporters remain hopeful. Jack Dorsey, CEO of both Twitter and Square, has voiced his vision of Bitcoin emerging as the world’s currency. “It will probably take over ten years,” he mused, probably while dreaming of a crypto utopia.

When Bubbles Bring Innovation

Bill Miller, a multi-millionaire investor and founder of Miller Value Partners, counters the fears surrounding cryptocurrencies being mere bubbles. He suggests that bubbles can spark innovation and bring legitimacy to new markets. It’s like a scary ride at a theme park—you might scream, but that rush is what gets you through to the other side.

Conclusion: The Road Ahead for Bitcoin

So where does that leave Bitcoin? Far from being a viable currency just yet, it’s still riding the waves of speculation and volatility. If it wants to be taken seriously, it’s going to need a serious makeover—think of it as the shy wallflower at a party who just needs to bust a move.

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